The Bitcoin Halving Dilemma: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold as Supply Shock Approaches?

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By David Brooks

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Bitcoin (BTC USD) is just days away from its next halving cycle, leaving investors wondering what the coin’s next move will be. The halving will take place on April 19, 2024. Block reward reduction from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC.

As the world’s first and best-known cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has experienced remarkable growth and widespread adoption over the past decade. It offers a unique value proposition with the potential for high returns. However, it is important to highlight its shortcomings, including the recent liquidity crisis that raises concerns about the coin’s inherent volatility and perceived value.

The Bitcoin Halving Cycle

The Bitcoin halving is a cornerstone event programmed into the code. Approximately every four years, the reward for Bitcoin miners for securing the network and validating transactions is halved.

This mechanism was carefully designed to control the supply of Bitcoin and counteract inflationary pressures. In the past, halving events were often followed by periods of significant price increases.

As the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market decreases, existing Bitcoins theoretically become more valuable due to scarcity. Although this seems simple, it would be disingenuous to assume that past performance is indicative of future results.

Increasing institutional acceptance

The Bitcoin and cryptocurrency investment landscape has changed dramatically since the last bull market. Major investment firms, corporations and even some nations are recognizing Bitcoin’s potential as a rival to gold and a potential store of value.

The SEC Approves Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in January has made it easier for investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies. Additionally, this surge in institutional interest lends additional credibility to this new, emerging asset class.

In addition, investors are speculating about it Hong Kong will approve its first Bitcoin ETFs later this month. This will be another major catalyst at the time of halving that will drive institutional adoption in Asia Pacific.

Proceed with caution

Although the potential benefits of holding Bitcoin are obvious, it is crucial to approach this investment with caution. If you are here to get rich, there are better places to do it in a safer way.

Cryptocurrency markets are notoriously volatile, and Bitcoin is no exception. There is a high chance that the coin will experience a massive surge followed by a huge crash. At this time, you will also see industry headlines touting that Bitcoin will reach a certain price, although no one knows what the price will be.

The future of the cryptocurrency market remains bright, but it is certainly not for everyone to participate in. Therefore, investors should proceed with caution and prepare for the inevitable volatility that lies ahead.

At the time of publication, Terel Miles did not hold, directly or indirectly, any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author, subject to those of InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Terel Miles is a writer at InvestorPlace.com and has over seven years of experience investing in the financial markets.

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